NFC North Best Player Prop Bets

Jump Start Your NFL Season Off with a big fat “W” with the hottest NFC North Bets!

Best 2024 NFC North Bets

The 2024 NFL season is approaching FAST. The Hall of Fame game is less than two weeks away and NFL Kickoff will be here before we know it. Not only is the offseason a great time for fantasy football, but it’s the perfect time to find value in the NFL betting market. It’s time to put the projections up against the test and put our money where our mouth is! The NFL Futures Player Props Series rolls on with the NFC North bets. This division features four teams who all have a legitimate chance to make the playoffs. Expectations will be riding high among these fan bases and it’s time to project who will rise to the occasion and who will falter. I’ve got one best bet for each team for my four top prop bets for the NFC North.

*Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Leader +1100

Let’s kick off this player prop article with a bang. We’re headed to the NFL Stats leader market, and more specifically to the receiving yards category. Like many of these offseason markets, it may appear that it is a wide-open race, but realistically it is limited to a select group of players. In order to lead the NFL in receiving yards, you have to have a number of factors working for you.

To start, there needs to be ample volume and opportunity. The player needs to have an offense where he is the primary option. The Detroit Lions are an offense that is spoiled with many weapons, but St. Brown is the clear best-receiving threat.

He also has the benefit of both playing in a weather-controlled dome and playing with a competent QB. Jared Goff is no stranger to putting up gaudy passing numbers. In four out of the last six seasons, Goff has thrown for over 4,400 passing yards. As an added plus, Goff plays behind one of the best lines in football, giving him plenty of time to find St. Brown downfield.

This would also not be asking Amon-Ra St. Brown to make any drastic changes this season. He has already proven to be an elite WR in the NFL, having the third most receiving yards last season and second most catches.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is the CLEAR alpha dog on a loaded offense, I love him to lead the NFL in receiving yards at +1200.

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Josh Jacobs Under 950.5 Rushing Yards -135

The 2024 Green Bay Packers are going to look a bit different than last season. Some of these more drastic changes come on the offensive line and RB room. Let’s start with the big boys up front on the O-Line. Green Bay cut ties with three offensive linemen last season who played significant snaps for them in recent history. This leads to a young offensive line coming into the season that is both inexperienced and lacking chemistry.

Additionally, despite bringing Josh Jacobs over in free agency, this does not mean he’s going to be their bell cow. Not only did the Packers pay to keep AJ Dillon in the backfield, but they spent a 3rd round pick on an RB. Rookie MarShawn Lloyd is an explosive back who provides a different element than the bruising Josh Jacobs.

n conjunction with an unproven O-Line and crowded RB room, Jacobs is not the most efficient runner. He only averaged a poor 3.5 yards per carry last season. If this inefficiency continues, he would need about 270 carries next season to hit this number.

Expecting the Packers to struggle on the O-Line and ride the hot hand in the backfield, I’m taking the UNDER 950.5 Rush Yards on Josh Jacobs at -135.

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JJ McCarthy Week 1 Starting QB +300

The next play comes with a fairly simple handicap. You don’t trade into the Top 10 to draft a guy just to sit on the bench. The debate going into the draft surrounding JJ McCarthy was whether he would go in the first round or not. By all accounts, the Vikings drafted him above market value, knowing he was THE guy for them.

Not only does draft capital factor in but look at the alternative. I can pretty confidently say that NO ONE is excited for Sam Arnold to QB their team. We’re talking about a guy who went from seeing ghosts to throwing more interceptions than touchdowns in his last two seasons of significant playing time.

The Minnesota Vikings do their fans a favor and don’t have them waiting on their franchise QB, give me JJ McCarthy to be the Day 1 starter at +300.

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D’Andre Swift Under 5.5 Rush Touchdowns -120

Bears new RB D’Andre Swift has scored exactly five rushing touchdowns three years in a row. In other words, he has been 3/3 to this number in the past three seasons. Not only is he a RB who struggles to dominate goal-line carries but he walks into an interesting situation.

The Chicago Bears relied heavily on a RB Committee last season and they’re poised to run it back again. Whether due to injury or opportunity, no one Bears RB dominated in touches. This especially became true in the red zone. In fact, not a single player on the Bears scored more than four rushing touchdowns last season. With both Roschon Johnson and Khalil Herbert still on the roster this season, I expect the carries to be distributed fairly evenly.

I do not see RB D’Andre Swift separating himself and becoming a one-man show for the Chicago backfield. For this reason, I expect him to continue his trend and go UNDER 5.5 Rush TDs at -120.