“Unlocked Plus Money Deep HAIL MARY Week 7 NFL Prop Bets for The Deepest DieHard NFL Defensive football fans!”
Last week didn’t go as well as the week before, but hey that’s how the cookie can crumble more often than not when gambling DEEP! Like, who would have thought that the only one we hit would be the deepest of them all with Bryce Huff getting his sack? However, we are back and reloading with this week’s Plus Money HAIL MARY Week 7 NFL Prop Bets And Parlay Picks! And don’t forget that we suggest putting these parlay picks in a round-robin of some type or another.
So let’s get to the point and see what Draftkings And Fanduel have for us this weekend…
Draftkings, nine games available (Sacks) late on 10/18.
Odds Recorded On 10/18/2024 Via DraftKings
Warning, These Are Deep Plus Money Makers And Not For The Faint Of Heart. Just a reminder, theres a reason the Paraly and Odds are on the nice plus money Best Bets.
More Week 7 NFL Prop Bets And Football Advice
- DOMINATE Week 7 NFL Sunday With The Best Player Prop Bets & Top Picks!
- Week 7 Fantasy Football IDP Start or Sit
- HUGE NFL Trades Shaking Up Week 7 Dynasty Fantasy Football!
- Dynasty Friday – IDP Buy/Hold/Sell – Week 7
Za’Darius Smith – Over 0.25 Sacks @ +130 (Browns)
Several factors work in Smith’s favor. First, it’s a home game against the Bengals’ mediocre offensive line. Their quarterback, Joe Burrow, averages three sacks per game. And the only team that hasn’t recorded a sack against Cincinnati is the Panthers. We’ll cover them more later. However, the Panthers have one of the least effective edge rushing units in the league, lacking impact players, making them an outlier.
Smith also benefits from playing alongside one of the league’s top defensive ends, Myles Garrett. And a solid but not overpowering interior defensive line. Smith still grades very well above par and has a solid pass rush grade. And this being a divisional game in Cleveland, we can expect the Browns A-Game on defense. They’ll need to try and shut Joe Burrow down or all will be lost early, despite Nick Chubb‘s return to the lineup. But don’t be surprised when this Browns Defense makes it tougher on the Bengals than some might think. This is a huge rivalry and we’re leaning hard toward Smith getting his fourth sack of the year this weekend.
Oh yeah, and the Bengals are currently down one starting offensive tackles and starting a rookie at right tackle. Amarius Mims graded out fairly well, but in the heat of this game, we’ll give the thumbs up to the veteran Smith hands-down, in Cleveland.
To throw in a weird fact that might be in play here by some higher powers. Smith is getting a sack in every other contest so far this season. And he didn’t record one versus the Steelers last week. So, short and sweet, and looking for those Hail Mary plus money parlay plays. Za’Darius Smith getting over 0.25 Sacks at +130 versus the Bengals will be how we kick this round-robin off with a big bang! Always Keep your limits in mind when playing your best bets.
Harold Landry – Over 0.25 Sacks @ +155 (Titans)
In this case, we’re taking advantage of the star edge rusher’s skill, experience, and the Bills quarterback, Josh Allen. Landry is a well-known pass rusher having a quiet but strong season. And he’s done it without defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons, but that just changed. Simmons was back after a few weeks off, and they’re just getting back in sync.
A plus, we know the Titans are struggling, so Landry and Simmons should get plenty of snaps in Buffalo. Even though the Bills’ offensive line is in the top ten, that hasn’t stopped how Josh Allen plays his game. Hence, he’s been sacked six times in the last three games. It might not sound like a lot, but Landry’s skill against Allen will create its own opportunities. And perhaps other than Simmons, Landry is the best option to get to Allen on the run.
According to PFF, Allen has been sacked 8 times, but only 2 were credited to the Bills’ offensive line.
So, I’m picking the veteran edge rusher who’s rarely stopped and now has an elite defensive tackle beside him. This deep plus-money bet depends on both Landry and Allen running for it. And don’t forget, we are getting these into a round-robin parlay.
Byron Young – Over 0.25 Sacks @ +180 (Rams)
Looking at this matchup, I was hoping DraftKings would list Raiders DE Charles Snowden. Unfortunately, they didn’t, but I’ll keep an eye out for him to pop up. I’d be very interested in those potential plus-money odds. However, we’re here to discuss another solid pass rusher who’s capable, not overachieving. As we mentioned in a previous article, Young had a small breakout in 2023. This year hasn’t gone as well due to the Rams’ new, young defensive unit facing growing pains and other issues. Is he elite? No. But his PFF pass-rush grade is in the low 70s, which is above average with some upside.
This leans more on the Raiders’ offensive line, ranked 25th to 30th by most respected sites, and their quarterback situation. The Raiders don’t give up many sacks, but they allow a lot of production overall. This will open up opportunities for Young, Kobi Kurner, and Jarred Verse, though Verse isn’t as great a target this week. As mentioned before, the young players are still facing growing pains. This defense is heavily designed to pressure the quarterback, and that will be important at home against the Raiders’ shaky quarterback situation.
Young has only two sacks this season and modest supporting stats, which is true. However, one thing is certain: Young delivers when the numbers line up, based on last year’s performance. Just like back in Week 3 when he came through for us, this matchup shows huge potential. In fact, it looks even better than the strong Week 3 matchup against the 49ers and Brock Purdy, no matter who starts at quarterback for the Raiders.
Anfernee Jennings – Over 0.25 Sacks @ +240 (Patriots)
Jacksonville’s below-average offensive line has allowed 3.5 sacks per game in 4 of 6 games this season. The other two games were against struggling or injured defensive lines at the time, the Texans and Colts. Notably, the Texans still managed to sack Trevor Lawrence once. The only above-average pass rushes Jacksonville has faced were the Browns and Dolphins in weeks one and two.
The Patriots have plenty of talent, but their schemes are what we need to watch. Jennings has momentum coming into this matchup. He’s one of the top three or four Patriots defensive linemen in snap rotation, which they rotate often. Jennings mainly plays outside linebacker or defensive end, brought in on passing downs. He still plays about 60% of the snaps when healthy. Among all the Patriots’ pass rushers, he’s been the most productive, except for sacks (0.5). However, in all other areas, he’s performing well with 27 combined tackles and 3 tackles for a loss.
Jennings isn’t just an edge rusher; he also plays inside and helps on stunts to create pressure. All of the Patriots’ defensive linemen stunt and switch inside often. So, looking to take advantage of this matchup against Jacksonville’s offensive line and Lawrence, I’m choosing the most consistent player. Jennings, who grades near the 70s on PFF, offers a great plus-money payout at +240 in this round-robin parlay.
The Week 7 NFL Prop Bets Biggest Payout!
Panthers Recording Over A Sack @ +450 (NOPE)
Focusing on this matchup, I checked DraftKings, and the only sack bet listed was for Panther Charles Harris. There’s no way that’s happening. So, I decided to check the DraftKings Team Sack tab for this game. To my surprise, it’s a great option at +450, and here’s why.
Washington, once a top 10 team, is now bottom 8 in allowing production on the interior and edge. Although QB Jayden Daniels has taken multiple sacks, he did have one game without any. That was against the Arizona Cardinals, who are just slightly better than the Panthers in edge talent. No one would argue that the Panthers currently have the 32nd-ranked pass rush unit. They started the season by cutting linebacker Frankie Luvu and DE/OLB Brian Burns without replacing them. Just ask Panther DT Derrick Brown (IR) and DE Jadeveon Clowney (D)—it’s been rough.
Right now, the Panthers’ main edge rusher is Charles Harris, a former first-round bust who became a starter when D.J. Wonnum got injured in Week 1. Things only get worse from there. Harris is graded below average, and so is the deeper-depth player DJ Johnson. Johnson might be more productive in tackles, but he’s still well below average on PFF. So yes, at +450, a modest bet in a round-robin definitely makes sense this weekend.
Don’t forget, moderation is key to enjoying these…
DEEP Defensive Week 7 NFL Prop Bets!
Thank you for joining me, take care, and we’ll see you all again next week!
Please gamble in moderation and keep it fun every game! Catch me at The IDP Tipster or over on the IDP Plus Bets on the X with more NFL defensive player bets and Easy IDP start/sit charts. Week 7 NFL Prop Bets
