“Tackle The BIG Plus Money HAIL MARY Week 10 NFL Prop Bets – Only for the Deepest DieHard NFL Defensive fans!”
Nick Bosa Over 0.25 Sacks @ -125 (49ers) VOID
Seeking the anchor for this third leg was fairly simple. Nick Bosa continues to perform when the 49ers aren’t. And, versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Baker Mayfield has its upside this game indeed. The Bucs currently sit top 12 in overall defensive production off the edge and have given up 22 sacks so far this season including 5 in the last three games. So yeah, give me Nick Bosa who is graded 90.7 overall right now by PFF and is sitting on nearly an elite pass-rusher grade (87.8). And this game is in San Fran with Tampa Bay making the cross-country trip and ailing hip or not, coming off the bye, Bosa will be well rested and ready to go!
Got To Pivot!
Pivot this to Pittsburgh Steelers T.J. Watt versus the Commanders at over a .25 of a sack at -115 for a +1332 Parlay. Bosa has trended down instead of up with the hip issue. And Watt at -115 against the Commanders is also a no-brainer I wished Draftkings would have had this up when I placed my bets with Bosa in them. We can duplicate the profile here versus a rookie quarterback with a history of giving up multi-sack games to worthy pass-rushing units. And there isn’t any other better duo out there than Alex Highsmith and T.J. Watt. So book this one instead as the anchor to this parlay!
And Here’s Where It Starts Getting Deep!
Nik Bonitto Over 0.25 Sacks @ +170 (Broncos)
He might be an unfamiliar name to many, but Nick Bonitto has been on fire this year and currently breaking out of his shell. In the last 7 games, he recorded a sack in all but one, which also happens to be from Week 9. And being on the road in Kansa City isn’t much of a factor, not when 3 of the seven were away games. Bonitto took on a much larger role after Baron Browning went down early on and hasn’t looked back. And so much so that Denver finally released themselves of an injury-prone Browning by dealing him to Arizona before the trade deadline. However, that’s neither here nor there when making this bet. We’ll base that on a couple of additional facts.
One, K.C. may have a formidable offensive line, but that has not kept Patrick Mahomes clean, actually far from it considering. Mahomes has to miss any resemblance to a running game when he’s taken 16 sacks so far this season. And has been sacked at least one time in all 8 games but one, including a 4 sack performance versus the Bucs at home last weekend. The Chiefs traded for DeAndre Hopkins and have little to speak of in a running game, this means plenty of dropping back and passing again in Week 10. Hence, giving an above-par graded Boniito the opportunities he needs to get back on track in this divisional game to continue stacking the sacks this year.
Charles Harris Over 0.25 Sacks @ +180 (Panthers)
Oh lordy, it’s not getting any deeper than this, folks. However, don’t turn away yet; it gets interesting. Is Harris elite? No. Is Harris a known pass-rushing stud? No. Then what is he? Harris is a former high-round draft pick bust who’s bounced around the league for a while. However, this year in Carolina he has found himself pushed into a major role with many injuries across the front line. And somehow he’s actually made an impact in the stat box to the point of catching our attention.
In the last 5 games since really taking over as a start he’s recorded 3 sacks in 5 games, 4 tackles for a loss in the backfield, and popped the QB (hits) an additional four times, and that’s showing consistency. Something Harris hasn’t shown before but in this case, he is and we’re going to jump on this BIG plus money knowing the following…
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The Giants On Paper…
- The Giants aren’t a top 25-graded offensive line, or at least borderline among the top 32.
- A couple of weeks back, starting tackle Andrew Thomas faced another major injury for the second year in a row. After missing seven games with a hamstring injury in 2023. He was likely out for the rest of the season with a Lisfranc injury sustained in Week 7.
- According to reports here are his replacement options grades: Chris Hubbard – Overall: Poor (47.9) – Pass Blocking: Terrible (20.5) – Run Blocking (77.8)
- And here are the others: LG Jon Runyan Jr Overall: 65.6 – RG Greg Van Roten Overall: 66.6 – RT Jermaine Eluemunor Overall – 61.6 (Pass Blocking:67)
- Giants QB Daniel Jones has been sacked 27 times averaging nearly 3.5 sacks on average per game. 4th in the league with Deshaun Watson now out. And only 3 sacks from sitting number 1.
- Since the game since his left guard went down Jones has been sacked 13 times in 3 games.
So, it’s a theme for the Giants just as much or more as the Big Plus Money bet. And that Harris “by default” plus his upside momentum at the moment can get this one locked down.
Hail Mary 3 Pick Parlay – @ +1332
T.J. Watt Over 0.25 Sack vs. WAS – @ -115
Nik Bonitto Over 0.25 Sack vs. KC – @ +170
Charles Harris Over 0.25 Sack vs. NYG – @ +180
It’s as great as an All-Combination or 2-pick Round-Robin as it gets this week!
Don’t forget, that moderation is key to enjoying these Hail Marys…
DEEP Defensive Week 10 NFL Prop Bets!
Thank you for joining me, take care, and we’ll see you all again next week!
Please gamble in moderation and keep it fun every game! Catch me at The IDP Tipster or IDP Plus Bets on the X with more NFL defensive player bets.