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Looking for the best Week 1 NFL sack bets? You’re in the right place! As the 2024 NFL season kicks off, we’re breaking down some top sack bets that offer high-value opportunities. First, we’ll look at DeForest Buckner and Christian Wilkins, among others, analyzing key matchups, offensive line weaknesses, and sack prop bets to help you make smart wagers. Additionally, we’ll explain why these defensive stars are poised to shine in Week 1. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to NFL props, this guide will give you all the stats, trends, and advantages you need for a strong start to the season.
Christian Wilkins: Over 0.25 sacks at +220 vs. Chargers
First, Christian Wilkins, paired with Maxx Crosby, forms one of the most dangerous pass-rushing duos in the NFL. In Week 1, the Raiders face the Chargers, who allowed 29 sacks in just 13 games last season. The Chargers have tried to improve by replacing Trey Pipkins with Joe Alt. However, their offensive line is still ranked 18th by PFF heading into the season. Next, with Crosby drawing more attention from blockers, Wilkins is well-positioned to take advantage of any weaknesses. As a result, the combination of Wilkins’ rising sack production and the Chargers’ offensive line challenges makes this a smart bet for at least 0.25 sacks in Week 1.
Looking at his last three seasons, Wilkins’ performance has steadily improved. In 2021, he posted 4.5 sacks and 89 combined tackles, with 10 tackles for loss. By 2022, his combined tackles increased to 98, and his tackles for loss grew to 16. Though his sack total dropped to 3.5, he remained consistent. Then, in 2023, Wilkins had a breakout season. He recorded a career-high 9 sacks and 23 quarterback hits, disrupting both the pass and run games. His consistent growth and this favorable matchup against the Chargers’ shaky offensive line make Wilkins an excellent candidate to secure at least 0.25 sacks
DeForest Buckner: Over 0.25 sacks at +124 vs. Texans
First, DeForest Buckner is a proven force on the Colts’ defensive line. Over the past four seasons, he has consistently performed, averaging more than 8 sacks per season and totaling 32.5 sacks. In 2023, he delivered 8 sacks, along with 21 quarterback hits and 11 tackles for loss. Next, Buckner stands out as one of the top interior linemen, excelling in both pass rush and run defense. His strong performances have earned him Pro Bowl selections in both 2021 and 2023, showing his continued ability to impact games.
Additionally, the Week 1 game against the Houston Texans provides an excellent opportunity for Buckner. The Texans allowed 38 sacks last season, putting them near the bottom of the league in pass protection. Also, their offensive line is ranked 30th by PFF, giving Buckner even more of an advantage. Thus, this matchup presents Buckner with a good chance to continue his strong play. Then, considering his ability to capitalize on these situations, it’s likely he’ll get at least 0.25 sacks. Overall, this game gives Buckner a solid chance to start the season strong against a team that has consistently struggled with pass protection.
Matthew Judon: Over 0.25 sacks at +120 vs. Steelers
Matthew Judon is one of the league’s top pass rushers, and Week 1 gives him a strong chance to continue dominating. In 2023, Judon recorded 15.5 sacks. He also added 42 pressures and 12 QB knockdowns, highlighting his impact on the Patriots’ defense. In 2019, Judon was blitzed 150 times, demonstrating his durability and ability to create pressure consistently. This heavy involvement established him as a top edge rusher, which is crucial against the Steelers, who have had protection issues in past seasons.
Judon has been consistently productive over the years. In 2019, he posted 9.5 sacks, followed by 6 sacks in 2020. Then, in 2021, he recorded 12.5 sacks and 42 pressures, proving his ability to get to the quarterback. He also ranked among the top five pass rushers in QB hits during that period. Finally, in 2022, Judon hit a career-high 15.5 sacks, making him a reliable bet for at least 0.25 sacks in Week 1 against Pittsburgh.
Harold Landry & Jeffrey Simmons (Over 0.25 sacks each at +114 vs. Bears)
Harold Landry and Jeffrey Simmons are two of the Tennessee Titans’ most effective pass rushers. Each plays a crucial role in disrupting opposing offenses. Landry had a breakout season in 2021, registering a career-high 12 sacks and earning a Pro Bowl selection. His versatility as an edge rusher, along with his 14 tackles for loss and 22 quarterback hits, solidified him as one of the top defenders in the league. At the same time, Simmons has been a force on the interior, recording 8.5 sacks in 2021 with 25 pressures and 54 combined tackles. His ability to pressure quarterbacks and stuff the run makes him a dual threat in the trenches.
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Best Week 1 NFL Bets Continued…
Landry made a strong comeback in 2023 after missing the entire 2022 season due to a torn ACL. He recorded 10.5 sacks and 21 quarterback hits, showing his speed off the edge. Together with Simmons’ power from the inside, they form a strong pass-rushing duo. Next, Simmons had another productive season in 2023, contributing 5.5 sacks and 17 pressures in just 12 games, despite missing time due to injury. Both players create pressure, and their skills make them a constant threat to opposing offensive lines. Also, this Week 1 matchup gives a great chance, as Chicago’s offensive line allowed 58 sacks in 2022, one of the worst in the league.
Their consistent production makes both Landry and Simmons solid bets for over 0.25 sacks each. Simmons’ ability to collapse the pocket from the inside and Landry’s edge speed will likely overwhelm the Bears’ struggling offensive line. Parlaying these two bets adds great value for bettors. Both players are well-positioned to take advantage of Chicago’s weaknesses in protection. Their past performances, including Simmons’ 7.5 sacks in 2022 and Landry’s 41.5 career sacks, show why these two are poised to dominate this matchup.
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The Perfect Best Week 1 NFL Parlay Sack Package
Pairing three to five of the players mentioned in a parlay offers high confidence and astronomical payout potential. Wilkins, Landry, and Simmons make the safest trio to combine, as all have consistent sack production and favorable matchups. Adding Matthew Judon or DeForest Buckner can exponentially increase the parlay’s value with their favorite Week 1 matchup. With Wilkins anchoring the parlay, success odds are high due to his reliable quarterback pressure. Even opting for just three players, with Wilkins included, provides a solid opportunity for a rewarding outcome.
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