“It’s the Hottest NFL Week 14 Day Player Prop Bets And Parlay Pick With NFL Player Expert Justin Mark!”
It’s Week 14 in the NFL! The playoffs creep closer and closer! My Thanksgiving article fell short of the mark we’re used to but that’s okay. Like a football team that is in must-win mode, we’ll bounce back this week! If you’ve been engaged in fantasy football but your playoff hopes are crushed – don’t worry! We can still place some NFL Week 14 props! Here’s my list of the top Week 14 bets to win us some cash!
Odds Recorded On 12/06/2024 Via DraftKings
Jakobi Meyers Over 5.5 Receptions @ -130 (Raiders)
This one is a little bit juiced up to -130. However, it’s one of my favorite NFL Week 14 props to bet. Since Davante Adams was traded away Jakobi Meyers has been the top wide receiver for the Raiders. Last week it also became evident that it doesn’t matter if it’s Gardner Minshew or Aidan O’Connell throwing to him. The past two weeks, Meyers has been a huge focus of this offense and teams scramble to try and slow Brock Bowers.
Two weeks ago against a tough Broncos defense, Meyers had an amazing ten receptions for 121 yards. The Raiders only completed 31 passes that week, meaning Meyers had over 30% of their catches. His target share was just as impressive. Last week against another tough defense in the Chiefs, O’Connell and Meyers hooked up six times for 97 yards. While that falls a little under 30% of the catches at 26%, it’s still a very impressive rate.
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Now the Raiders hit the road to Tampa to face the Bucs. Compared to the Broncos and Chiefs, the Bucs’ defense leaves a lot to be desired. Whether Meyers is lining up outside or in the slot, he should be set up for a big game. Meyers and Brock Bowers will take turns taking advantage of this defense.
You could also target Meyers’ yards at 63.5, but my favorite is his receptions. Six receptions should come easy to him as I think the game script will force the Raiders to throw the ball and he’ll get closer to that ten-reception range. As a bonus bet, once Brock Bowers receptions are available I like parlaying the two together for an extra min-parlay.
Saquon Barkley Over 111.5 Rushing Yards @ -120 (Eagles)
It’s no secret that Saquon Barkley is having a career year. It really makes you wonder how much the Giants are kicking themselves while they watch him run all over everybody. Now, Barkley goes against the team that’s ranked dead last in the league in rushing yards allowed to opposing running backs. So what line should we attack against the Panthers for our NFL Week 14 props?
My first reaction was to take Saquon’s rushing attempts at 21.5. The Eagles know their secret to success. Run the ball with Saquon. He’s gone over 21.5 carries in four of the last five games. However, despite the Panthers playing somewhat competitively the past few weeks, I worry the game could get out of hand. If the Eagles have a big lead, they may feel comfortable working more with Kenneth Gainwell and Will Shipley.
I really liked his longest rush attempt, which was set at 19.5 last night, but has since been pulled from the books as bettors flock to the books to get their Barkley bets in. So I decided to settle on Saquon Barkley over 111.5 rushing yards. I realize he only ran for 107 last week against a good Ravens defense.
However, in the prior six games, he went over 111.5 rushing yards in four of them. That includes a 255-yard performance against the Rams, who have also struggled to stop the run. If the Eagles approach this game like I think they will, Saquon may be close to 120 yards in the first half.
Drake London Over 71.5 Receiving Yards @ -120 (Falcons)
So Kirk Cousins hasn’t looked like prime Kirk Cousins in the past couple of games. He’s thrown zero touchdowns in three weeks. However, that hasn’t stopped him from getting the ball to Drake London. Even in games where they were blown out and the defense swarmed them like in Week 11 against the Broncos, London still managed 61 yards on just three catches.
The Week prior to that they faced New Orleans and London had eight catches for 97 yards. Last week against the Chargers he had nine catches for 86 yards. They lost all three of these games. Now, in a must-win game to keep battling for the NFC South, Kirk Cousins and the Falcons hit the road to his former team, the Minnesota Vikings. Revenge time?
The Falcons need a win, while the Vikings have continued to win almost all season. And while the Vikings record is definitely impressive, their pass defense hasn’t been as impressive. Just two weeks ago they allowed two receivers to go over 71.5 yards in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. Last week they let Trey McBride exceed this number.
If we want to flip back to three weeks ago, they let Will Levis and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine rack up 117 yards. Say what you want about Kirk Cousins, he’s a big step up from Will Levis. Kirk Cousins and Drake London should be able to exploit this defense and rack up over 100 yards. London may be a great ladder opportunity as well, with 100+ yards currently sitting at +235.
Najee Harris Over 11.5 Yards @ -120 (Steelers)
Maybe this is just following stats from last week. However, Najee Harris and the Steelers have been on fire. Part of last week’s stats were the injuries the Bengals had when they played the Steelers. However, part of that was also the game script of the Steelers. In that game Steelers’ running backs Harris, Jaylen Warren, and Cordarelle Patterson, all exceeded 11.5 receiving yards.
Harris had the best day, catching six passes for 54 yards. Two weeks ago when these two played, Harris only had two catches for 13 yards. Though, the way I do math, that’s still more than 11.5 yards. Mike Tomlin showed that this offense can find a lot of success getting the ball to the running backs in the passing game. It makes sense that he would continue this approach.
The Browns have also allowed backs to have over 11.5 receiving yards in two of their last three games. Harris has gone over this in the last three straight games as well. The Browns defense has been up and down but their pass rush with Myles Garrett is elite. What’s one of the best ways to beat a pass rush? With screens or short dump-offs to the running back.
This is another line that’s slightly juiced but I think Harris clears the 20-yard mark in receiving and the Steelers keep rolling. Our lines are a little more juiced this week than normal, dropping the parlay payout down a little bit. However, that just makes me all the more confident in these NFL Week 14 props! Good luck on our best bets – and let’s win some cash!
Big Parlay By The Numbers: +990
Jakobi Meyers Over 5.5 Receptions -130
Saquon Barkley Over 111.5 Rushing Yards -120
Drake London Over 71.5 Receiving Yards -120
Najee Harris Over 11.5 Receiving Yards -120
It’s as great as an All-Combination or 2-pick Round-Robin as it gets!
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