The Patriots are underdogs in Super Bowl 60, but these sneaky value bets could pay off big. Here’s what smart bettors should watch.
No one expected the Patriots to make it this far. They opened the season with 80–1 odds to win the Super Bowl. Now they’re set to face the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl LX — as 4.5-point underdogs in a defensive slugfest.
For fantasy football managers, player prop bettors, and DFS grinders, this underdog role creates one thing: value. With projections deflated due to public perception, bettors can extract leverage.
This is where alternative wagering resources come into play. Sites like the AllBookmakers’ guide on non GamStop betting help sharp bettors find ways to bypass traditional limits, explore prop-heavy books, and tap into lesser-known markets that boost ROI.
Super Bowl value often hides in plain sight. These Patriots picks could be the difference between breaking even and breaking the book.
Rhamondre Stevenson: The Workhorse Nobody Is Talking About
Rhamondre Stevenson is the clearest “volume equals value” play on the board. His +106 odds to score a touchdown are modest — but misleading. Stevenson logged 94% of offensive snaps in the AFC Championship. He also handled three red-zone carries and ran 24 routes.
In a game projected at just 46.5 total points, red zone efficiency will matter. Seattle’s defense is vulnerable to screen passes and gap runs, both strengths of Stevenson’s game.
While the field chases stars like DK Metcalf or Kenneth Walker, Stevenson is quietly positioned for a massive workload. Touchdowns are unpredictable — but opportunity isn’t. Stevenson’s is elite.
he’s inevitable.
Rhamondre Stevenson over 70.5 RR -115
NFL Pick #1 🏈
Rhamondre has just been a workhorse to close out the season and is producing no matter what. The TOUGHEST matchup vs the Texans last game and still produced 81 RR. That makes it 77+ RR in 7 straight games.… pic.twitter.com/JOElP2R93L
— Penguin (@__LordPenguin) January 25, 2026
New England Patriots Hunter Henry and Austin Hooper: The Tight End Mismatch Angle
Hunter Henry has seen his role expand dramatically in the postseason. His Super Bowl receiving yards prop is set at 36.5 — a line that seems too low. Matchup models project Henry closer to 52 yards, thanks to Seattle’s scheme. The Seahawks often play a cover-3 base, leaving seams open and linebackers isolated against tight ends. Henry’s ability to find soft spots and work intermediate zones could lead to 5+ catches.
Austin Hooper, meanwhile, offers pure contrarian value. At long odds to score (available in DFS and prop books), Hooper plays roughly 35% of red-zone snaps. His size and veteran savvy make him an ideal misdirection target.
In large DFS fields or long-shot parlays, Hooper is the kind of dark horse that breaks slates.
Taking the Points: Patriots +4.5 Is More Than Just “Safe”
The spread opened at Seahawks -4.5. With public money hammering Seattle, sharp bettors see value in holding the line. Patriots games are almost always ugly. Their win over Buffalo came with 2-for-11 third-down conversion. Their AFC title win saw them grind down the Broncos without flash — just defense and discipline.
New England thrives in low-total games. With a projected 46.5 point line and elite special teams, field goals will matter. In tight matchups like this, underdog spreads over a field goal (like +4.5) hit at over 58% since 2018 in the postseason. Don’t overthink it — take the points.
UM. Rams. Broncos. Pacers. 49ers. Texans.
The underdog well dries up.
Confidence has to be drained
before the real trap is set.The Patriots sit as Super Bowl underdogs. 🎭🎪 #Patternwarfare pic.twitter.com/J9Xn9nDliV
— Jeremy Exposes Vegas (@JeremyGree50973) January 27, 2026
Final Word: Value Favors the Patient
The best plays in betting aren’t always the flashiest. They’re the ones built on matchup data, usage trends, and market inefficiencies. The Patriots offer just that heading into Super Bowl LX. From Stevenson’s goal-line role to Hunter Henry’s seam routes, there’s plenty of overlooked upside.
Using resources like the AllBookmakers’ guide on non GamStop betting can also help you access sharper markets and sneakier bets — without limits slowing you down.
Smart bettors don’t just chase stars. They chase value. And for Super Bowl LX, the value might just be hiding in a hoodie.
Thank you for reading my Patriots Value Bets article. You can read more of my sports betting content on my IDP+ Author page. After that, feel free to connect with me on Twitter @MarcSaulio and follow @IDP_Plus to stay informed about everything NFL-relevant by becoming a member.
