The Seattle Seahawks are favored in Super Bowl LX, but betting value still exists. Here are smart angles to target, including props.
From Longshots to Favorites: The Seahawks Offer Unexpected Betting Value. The Seahawks began the 2025 season with 60–1 odds to win it all. They now enter Super Bowl LX as 4.5-point favorites.
Led by the league’s No. 1 run defense, Seattle has forced the betting world to take notice. But being favored doesn’t mean the value is gone — it’s shifted.
Bettors who understand matchup dynamics and prop trends can still capitalize. Resources like the NonGamStopBookmakers betting sites offer alternatives for sharper lines, creative markets, and flexible wagering options — especially useful during Super Bowl week when mainstream books tighten limits. Let’s dive into where the edge still exists for Seattle backers.
Trust the Defense: Unders, Margins, and Matchups
Oddsmakers have the total set between 45.5 and 46 points. That tells us a lot — this game is expected to be slow-paced and physical. Seattle’s defense is elite, particularly against the run. They rank first in run-stop win rate and second in total DVOA. They’ve held opponents under 17 points in six of their last eight games.
Taking the under 45.5 is a value spot, especially with the Patriots’ offense more focused on field position and ball control. Another sharp play is taking the Seahawks to win by 1–6 points. The -4.5 spread favors Seattle, but alternative lines like Seahawks by 1–6 (+320 at some books) offer high upside if the game stays close — which early projections suggest it will.
Wide Receiver Props: Seattle Seahawks Smith-Njigba Is the Value Target
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is no longer just a rookie flyer — he’s a Super Bowl x-factor.
Listed at +100 for an anytime touchdown, he’s Seattle’s most efficient red-zone target over the past four games. While DK Metcalf will draw the top corner, Smith-Njigba often works out of the slot — where New England has allowed 2nd-most receptions in the league since Week 12.
The Patriots will focus on limiting big plays. That sets up JSN to work underneath and break one near the goal line. His quick separation makes him a top-tier value target in both betting markets and DFS contests.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba sleeps until the Super Bowl. @Seahawks #SuperBowl #Seahawks pic.twitter.com/xUfw7k7uB8
— Cam (@CamDerbyTV) January 28, 2026
Fade the Rushing Volume, Back the Complementary Role Player
Kenneth Walker’s rushing prop is set at 74.5 yards — and smart money is hitting the under. Walker has been bottled up in matchups against elite front sevens, and New England’s defense ranks top-5 in adjusted line yards.
Seattle’s game plan will likely feature misdirection and short passes to neutralize the Patriots’ interior strength. That could mean more Travis Homer or even designed touches for WRs.
Enter Rashid Shaheed — a wildcard weapon with a receiving yardage line of just 21.5 yards. His deep-threat speed gives Seattle a chance to flip field position quickly. Covers.com called this “one of the best WR overs on the board” due to how the Patriots defend the perimeter.
Kenneth Walker in the playoffs
🚀 45 touches
🚀 256 total yards
🚀 4 TDs
🚀 8 explosive plays pic.twitter.com/ngbfBcppTv— PFF Fantasy (@PFF_Fantasy) January 26, 2026
Final Word: Smart Bettors Exploit Market Perception
The Seahawks are favored for a reason. But that doesn’t mean every market is priced efficiently. In fact, the Super Bowl always creates soft spots — especially in secondary props and margin bets.
This is where tools like NonGamStopBookmakers betting sites shine. They offer alternative spreads, cross-sport parlays, and fewer restrictions — letting sharp bettors fully exploit angles like JSN TD props or Shaheed overs.
Seattle is the better team. But in betting, being “better” doesn’t guarantee value. Strategic, well-timed picks do — and this Super Bowl is full of them.
Thank you for reading my Seahawks Value Bets article. You can read more of my sports betting content on my IDP+ Author page. After that, feel free to connect with me on Twitter @MarcSaulio and follow @IDP_Plus to stay informed about everything NFL-relevant by becoming a member.
