“It’s the Hottest NFL Week 12 Player Prop Bets And Parlay Pick With NFL Player Expert Justin Mark!”
NFL Week 12 is here and we’re looking to win some more cash with player prop bets. Last week was a rough one. Perhaps we put too much faith in Russell Wilson and this Steeler’s offense. We hit some but not at the rate we hit the week before. However, that’s in the past and we’re looking to bounce back in a big way! Let’s break down the top NFL Week 12 player prop bets for this weekend.
So let’s get to the point and see what Draftkings And Fanduel have for us this weekend…
Odds Recorded On 11/22/2024 Via DraftKings
Aaron Jones Over 63.5 Rushing Yards @ -114 (Vikings)
The first player in the NFL Week 12 player prop bets to target is Aaron Jones of the Vikings. Jones’ rushing total is set at 63.5 rushing yards as the Vikings hit the road to take on the Chicago Bears. The Chicago Bears have really struggled against the run. They’re currently allowing an average of 130.3 rushing yards a game to opposing offenses.
They did limit Josh Jacobs to 76 yards on 18 carries last week. However, I believe that was a bit more of a game-script tempo. The Vikings offense has struggled to rush the ball efficiently lately. They’re still averaging 116.4 rushing yards a game. Jones has hit over 63.5 yards 60% of the time this season and 67% of the last three games. Sunday will be a cold day at Soldier Field and I expect the Vikings to run the ball 20-30 times.
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Aaron Jones is averaging 69.2 rushing yards per game on an average of 15.7 rushing attempts. The Bears’ defense is one of the top defenses against the pass, forcing teams to run the ball on them. While I have a feeling the Bears are going to win the game, I still think the Vikings will be able to successfully run the ball on them, and Jones will exceed this rushing total.
Gardner Minshew Under 212.5 Passing Yards @ -114 (Raiders)
I don’t know about you, but sometimes it’s hard to find a player prop that I like to take the under on. However, targeting a quarterback that’s facing this stiff Denver Broncos defense is usually a solid choice Therefore my next NFL Week 12 player prop bets to target is Gardner Minshew under 212.5 passing yards.
Minshew threw for 282 yards last week against the Miami Dolphins. However, the Dolphins’ defense isn’t as good as the Broncos’ defense. Their defense ranks ninth in the league and is allowing 190.5 passing yards per game. Led by Patrick Surtain and some of the best cover linebackers in the league, Minshew will have trouble feeding Brock Bowers like he has been.
Despite throwing for 282 yards last week, Minshew hadn’t thrown over 212.5 passing yards since Week 3. He’s only gone over the mark 44% of the time this season and just once in the last three weeks. Now facing a very tough defense, I don’t expect a top performance out of Minshew.
Rome Odunze Over 3.5 Receptions @ -108 (Bears)
When you read the next selection in the NFL week 12 player prop bets, I know you’re thinking to yourself – can I trust the Bears? I get the hesitation. As a Bears fan, it’s been a difficult and frustrating season to watch. From the bad play-calling and coaching to missed calls that would have allowed the Bears to finally beat the Packers last week. Before I go on a full-out rant, I’ll digress.
The Bears face the Minnesota Vikings at home this weekend as previously stated when talking about Aaron Jones. While the Bears’ defense is good against the pass but bad against the run, the Vikings’ defense is the opposite. They’re one of the top teams in stopping the run. However, they’re 30th in receiving yards allowed to wide receivers.
Rookie wide receiver Rome Odunze currently leads the Bears in receiving yards and has really started to get more involved lately. However, rather than target his receiving yards (43.5), I’m going to target his receptions, which is set at 3.5. Rome Odunze getting 3.5 catches feels like an easy bet to me. Sure, he’s only had four or more receptions 40% of the time this season, he’s hit this in two of the last three games. It also looked like with new play-caller Thomas Brown, Odunze was looked at and featured more often.
If you’d like a bonus bet while we’re talking Bears, I also love Cole Kmet over 2.5 receptions. I realize he’s been very hit-and-miss this year. However, Thomas Brown tends to feature tight ends more often and I think Kmet will have a good game against the Vikings.
Bo Nix Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns @ +110 (Broncos)
When I was looking over the top NFL Week 12 player prop bets, I didn’t mean to only target two games. However, these are the props that really jumped out at me. I’ve already covered two player props from the Vikings vs. Bears game. Now I’m targeting my second prop in the Broncos vs. Raiders game.
Bo Nix’s over 1.5 passing touchdowns at plus money feels a little bit like a trap. Sure, the Raiders are 11th in the league in passing yards allowed. However, they’re 26th in passing touchdowns allowed. Not to mention, if you haven’t been paying attention, Bo Nix has been balling out.
Nix has thrown over two or more touchdown passes in five of the last seven games. That includes going over in three of the last four and both of his last two games. This offense has been clicking on all cylinders and Nix is really making a case for winning Offensive Rookie of the Year. Nix threw four touchdowns last week and I don’t see him slowing down.
Big Parlay By The Numbers: +1197
Aaron Jones Over 63.5 Rushing Yards -114
Gardner Minshew Under 212.5 Passing Yards -114
Rome Odunze Over 3.5 Receptions -108
Bo Nix Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns +110
It’s as great as an All-Combination or 2-pick Round-Robin as it gets!
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