“Recap a wild Week 5 in the UFL and get expert analysis on UFL Week 6 bets, power rankings, and betting picks!”
The UFL season has reached its halfway point, and Week 5 delivered the wildest slate of games yet. Every underdog won outright, including a stunning overtime win for Memphis over Birmingham. Bettors who leaned toward chaos cashed in big. Now let’s dive in and take a look at our best UFL Week 6 bets!
(This is an AI-generated article from a recently published IDP+ Betting Podcast transcript.)
Underdog Week: Historic Upsets and Explosive Scores
Before getting to our UFL Week 6 bets, let’s recap Week 5. Week 5 was a bettor’s dream—if you backed the underdogs. Every single underdog on the slate won outright. Memphis shocked Birmingham as a 10-point underdog in overtime. St. Louis, Arlington, and Houston also pulled off wins despite being underdogs. It was the highest-scoring week in UFL history.
The game between DC and Arlington was especially chaotic. It featured the largest comeback in UFL history and the most total points ever scored in a single game. This week also included the first overtime contest of the season, when Memphis beat Birmingham in a shootout. In addition, a 108-yard missed field goal return touchdown became the week’s top highlight. The league continues to impress from an entertainment standpoint, but its volatility makes it both exciting and challenging for bettors.
Betting Recap: From Red-Hot Start to Just Above Water
The betting season started hot, with over 16 units of profit through the first two weeks. Since then, things have cooled off. Week 5’s chaos trimmed gains down to just +1.13 units on the season. Our side bets held up reasonably well, but prop bets took a serious hit. Despite the downturn, there’s optimism going into Week 6, especially as quarterback depth charts start to stabilize and create clearer edges for handicapping. We feel good about our UFL Week 6 bets.
Updated Power Rankings After Week 5
Let’s look at the updated power rankings before getting to our UFL Week 6 bets.
- The DC Defenders sit at the top of the power rankings with a 4-1 record. They continue to win games, even when they probably shouldn’t.
- Arlington comes in second after a game they largely controlled before a late turnover cost them against DC.
- The Michigan Panthers land third now that Bryce Perkins is the full-time starter, bringing balance and explosiveness to the offense.
- Birmingham remains a top-half team but no longer has the dominant edge they’ve enjoyed in past seasons.
- St. Louis continues to battle inconsistency, especially at quarterback, since the injury to Manny Wilkins.
- Houston is trending up, powered by Jalen McClendon’s emergence at quarterback.
- Memphis, while just 1-4, showed serious life in Week 5 and added key weapons on offense.
- San Antonio sits at the bottom, a shocking fall from grace for a team expected to contend. They currently have the worst offense and worst defense in the league.
Futures Market: Where the Value Lies
The last thing before our UFL Week 6 bets, let’s take a look at the futures markets. The top favorites in the futures market are DC, Birmingham, and St. Louis, with odds ranging from +300 to +375. However, none of those teams is particularly trustworthy right now.
DC continues to win but still has offensive concerns. Birmingham hasn’t looked like the same version of its championship teams, and St. Louis has major quarterback issues. Instead of backing those chalky options, bettors should look at the middle-tier teams.
Michigan is available at +475 on DraftKings and has a favorable path to the playoffs. With Bryce Perkins at the helm, they are strong on both sides of the ball. Arlington is another value play, sitting at +500 on ESPN Bet. They are the most balanced team in the league, with strong quarterback leadership from Luis Perez and a top-tier run game.
UFL Week 6 Game Previews and Bets
Arlington Renegades @ St. Louis Battlehawks (-3)
In Game 1, the Arlington Renegades visit the St. Louis Battlehawks in a matchup between two 3-2 teams. The Battlehawks are 3-point favorites at home, but they will likely be without defensive lineman Austin Faoliu and offensive tackle Bush Adebiyi.
Arlington is healthier and more balanced. Given that they beat St. Louis by 15 just two weeks ago, they’re a strong play this week. The best UFL Week 6 bet here is Arlington (+3) and also on the money line at +130.
Memphis Showboats @ Houston Roughnecks (-5.5)
Game 2 features the Memphis Showboats traveling to face the Houston Roughnecks. Houston is a 5.5-point favorite, but that number looks inflated. Memphis boasts a dangerous wide receiver trio and faces a Houston secondary riddled with injuries. Both teams are starting different quarterbacks than the last time they played three weeks ago.
Jalen McClendon has brought life to the Houston offense, while Dresser Winn earned Memphis their first win of the season. With these changes, the offenses are stronger, and the best UFL Week 6 bet in this one is Memphis (+5.5). The over 36.5 is also in play, especially given both quarterbacks’ recent performances.
DC Defenders @ Michigan Panthers (-2.5)
In Game 3, the DC Defenders visit the Michigan Panthers in a battle of top-tier teams. DC is 4-1, while Michigan is 3-2 and favored by 2.5 points. Michigan now starts Bryce Perkins full-time, and he’s emerged as an MVP-caliber talent.
DC’s defense is stout, especially against the pass, but their offense still leans too heavily on big plays and struggles with consistency. Michigan’s offense is the second-best in both rushing and passing, and they are the number two scoring offense in the league.
The Panthers are also well-coached and more complete. The best UFL Week 6 bet in this one is Michigan (-2.5) and the over 41.5, given both teams’ scoring potential.
San Antonio Brahmas @ Birmingham Stallions (-9.5)
Game 4 features San Antonio visiting Birmingham. San Antonio is a mess. They are 1-4, have no answers at quarterback, and are last in both scoring offense and scoring defense. Birmingham, while not as explosive as past seasons, should handle business comfortably.
The Stallions are favored by nine, and that’s the side to take. With Matt Corral likely returning at quarterback, they should have better offensive flow. Still, don’t expect fireworks. Birmingham scores just 17 points per game and relies on their number one-ranked defense.
San Antonio may not score double digits. A 17-3 or 17-6 game is realistic. The best UFL Week 6 bet in this one is Birmingham (-9.5) and the under 37.5.
UFL Week 6 Best Bets of the Week
The top bet is Arlington (+3) against a St. Louis team missing key linemen. Arlington is healthier and more consistent on both sides of the ball.
Memphis is another strong play at (+5.5). The addition of Wes Hills and Daewood Davis gives them more firepower, and Houston is too shaky to trust as nearly a touchdown favorite. The Memphis vs. Houston over at 41, available at +168, is an alternate line that offers great value with two improving offenses.
Michigan (-2.5) against DC is another sharp play, given Bryce Perkins’ emergence and Michigan’s balanced attack.
Finally, Birmingham (-9) paired with the under 37.5 is the safest angle in the final game, with San Antonio completely unraveling.
Key News to Watch
Michigan has finally made Bryce Perkins the full-time starter, ending the failed quarterback rotation with Danny Etling. Wide receiver Samson Nacua has been suspended for one game for slapping a fan after a loss.
Memphis activated Daewood Davis and signed Wes Hills to upgrade the worst rushing offense in the league. Birmingham cut J’Mar Smith, signaling Matt Corral’s likely return at quarterback. These are all things to consider for your UFL Week 6 bets.
Final Word
Week 5 reminded everyone how unpredictable and exciting spring football can be. Week 6 offers more stability and betting clarity, thanks to confirmed quarterback situations and clearer injury reports.
Get your UFL Week 6 bets in early, stay on top of injury news, and take advantage of market inefficiencies. With the playoff race heating up, this is the perfect time to strike.
Thank you for reading this article by @IDP_Plus. This article was created using IDP+ AI and edited by Justin Mark. Be sure to check out the video above by The Degen Doc, which this video is based on, talking about UFL Bets. Follow @TheDegenDoc on X!
