If you had a bad Week 3 in DFS, you’re not alone, and it’s not your fault. Eight of the 16 NFL games from Week 3 were outright wins by the underdogs. The 13 teams that scored fewer than 20 points averaged less than 11 points in their games. Week 3 perfectly encapsulates what’s been happening around the league so far in 2024. Defenses are dominating and underdogs, especially heavy underdogs, are winning their games. At some point, offenses will adjust and catch up to the defenses. For our DFS bags’ sake, let’s hope it’s in Week 4. NFL Week 4 DFS Fantasy Football
Quarterback
The QB focus this week will be on the opposing signal callers in the Washington-Arizona game, Jayden Daniels and Kyler Murray. Not coincidentally, that game has the highest total (50.5) of the week. You’ll get a small discount on them on DraftKings as they come in at 13% and 13.6% of available salary respectively vs. 13.7% and 14.5% on FanDuel. I expect them to be fairly chalky so you may want to look elsewhere in GPPs.
CJ Stroud, Joe Burrow, Caleb Williams, and a potentially returning Jordan Love don’t have the dual threat upside of Murray and Daniels but have juicy matchups and multiple potential stack partners to make them appealing tournament options.
Running Back Week 4 DFS Fantasy Football
My Russell Erxleben Memorial Punt Play of the Week is Roschon Johnson of the Bears. D’Andre Swift has been the worst running back in the league so far this year. When Rachaad White goes to sleep at night, he tells himself “At least I’m not than D’Andre Swift…”. Johnson went touchless the first two weeks of the season but was clearly ahead of Khalil Herbert in Week 3. There’s no reason to think Swift is the answer in Chicago, so Johnson should continue to eat into his touches. With an affordable salary ($4100 on DK, $5500 on FD) and a matchup against the struggling Rams defense on tap, Roschon Johnson is this week’s key to building a winning lineup.
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Wide Receiver
There’s no shortage of elite, stackable Wide Receivers on the slate this week. At the top of the list is Ja’Marr Chase. After his Monday Night breakout, Chase should be able to keep things rolling against Carolina. For a $1000 discount on FanDuel, you can get access to Marvin Harrison, Jr. against the same Washington secondary Chase just eviscerated. On DK, Harrison is only $200 less than Chase so he’s a less desirable pivot.
If you need some salary relief at the Receiver position, you don’t need to look further than Harrison’s teammate Michael Wilson. He saw a career-high 9 targets against Detroit in Week 3 and gets to go against that same terrible Washington secondary. At $5300 on FanDuel and $4200 on DraftKings, he provides upside at a similar price point to Roschon Johnson.
Tight End Week 4 DFS Fantasy Football
Tight End is a mess. If you’re inclined to pay up this week, I’m OK with going back to the Travis Kelce well one more time. He’s had some monster games against the Chargers in the past and the Chiefs seem like they want to get him going. His price point is admittedly tough to swallow for a guy who hasn’t topped 70 yards total or crossed the goal line in three games.
If you want to go cheap this week, you may want to look at Tyler Conklin. Denver actually let Cade Otton of all people go for 7/47 last week. Conklin obviously has Aaron Rodgers‘ eye after turning 6 targets into 93 yards last Thursday.
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Defense
My favorite FanDuel defense this week is the Raiders at $3700. I expect them to bounce back after playing like dogs (pejorative, not DAWGS) last week against Carolina. Cleveland has to travel west and their offensive line is in shambles due to injury. Expect bunches of sacks from Maxx Crosby, Christian Wilkins, and company.
On DraftKings, the Raiders are only $100 cheaper than the “number one defense in the league” Pittsburgh Steelers. Since the Steelers have a matchup with the erratic Anthony Richardson on tap this week, they feel like an auto-click over there.
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