“It GETS NO DEEPER than this Week 5 NFL Player Prop Bets, especially when it’s a game-changing SACK parlay!”
Here’s where the thick skin comes in after we keep rolling into this weekend and coming off a poor weekend on some very deep bets that would’ve paid off big if its parlay had hit. AThisis why we don’t overextend ourselves by making bets at the window and ggamblingresponsibly. So that when you have one of these bigger money makers hit the mark, you don’t break the bank before you hit your streak. And that is exactly what we are doing when we place bets on these plus money options individually, in a Parlay, or with a Round-Robin for good measure. Always set a limit, and gamble for the fun as well as the profit. And with that said…
Let’s get to the point and my top Week 5 NFL Prop Bets & Deep Defensive Player Sack Parlay Picks…
Odds provided By DraftKings On 9/26/2024
Warning, These Are Deep Plus Money Makers And Not For The Faint Of Heart. Just a reminder, theres a reason the Paraly and Odds are on the nice plus money Best Bets. And be sure to check out Johny The Greek’s Week 5 NFL Best Bets when you are done checking these hot deep picks out.
Kayvon Thibodeaux Over 1/4 of a Sack @ +120 (NY Giants)
Thibodeaux was on fire last season and it looks like with a sack and half the last two games. He started out super slow in week 1 as the Giants sat their starters during the preseason. However, from week 2 onward, he’s recorded Ten combined, three tackles for a loss, and 5 QB hits. So as I said, he’s just getting warmed up. And if coming off the season he had last year with 11.5 sacks wasn’t enough of an audition. I really don’t know what is. Granted, he isn’t the highest-graded edge rusher in this game. Although, the opportunity can even the odds pretty fast on paper. And this Giants front 5 aren’t all that shabby as a unit. With Brian Burns off the other edge, and Dexter Lawernce demanding his own attention from the interior. Especially in this matchup versus Geno Smith and the Seahawks.
Ok, we have our guy based on his history and his prowess to get into the backfield. So now, and despite the fact Seattle doesn’t allow much at all off the edge in overall production. What does happen is Geno Smith gets sacked fairly often. Over the last three games, he’s averaged 3 per game and has 11 in total for the season. We like slow and steady, and in this case, both players involved have Thibodeaux on my bet slip for at least half a sack. And suspect the Giants’ defensive line as a whole can deliver and maybe even notch 4 sacks in Seattle. They’re all healthy, and the defense will get extra snaps than normal with a struggling Malik Neighbors-Less offense. Yep, at plus money it’s a parlay pick I like a lot this week to start with.
Emmanuel Ogbah Over 1/4 of a Sack @ +165 (Miami)
Ogbah is a bit of a flash-in-the-pan rebound kind of play and guy this week. This Dolphin veteran had slowly gotten squeezed out as Miami wanted more and signed Bradley Chubb and already had Jaelan Phillips and Andrew Van Ginkel. Not to mention the outstanding interior big men like Zack Seiler, Calais Campbell, and Christian Wilkins (gone) up to this season to compete with. They’ve returned all but two of these higher-end edge guys or interior players. And they added a highly profiled rookie (Chop Robinson) this year to make up for it. So it’s taken a little bit to get back on the field, but opportunity knocked because of deep injuries. And Ogbah is playing a little more of a stand-up edge rusher this time around, and it is paying off.
Emmanuel Ogbah has been the Dolphins’ top edge rusher, in all categories. And although this only includes one sack on the season we’re loving this matchup on paper versus the Patriots. Overall New England is number one letting off production on the interior, and a top 10 overall in both the edge and interior. And it certainly helps to know they are ranked dead last on the offensive line by most grading sites, including one of the biggest ones. So we’ll sum this up by taking this plus money bets looking even more reasonable seeing Jacoby Brissett’s 2024 sack track record. That went sacked one time in Week 1, sacked 3 times in Week 2, 5 in Week 3, and 6 in Week 4.
The Week 5 NFL Prop Bets Pivots
Would you rather take the lower payout on the parlay? As I mentioned the Patriots are terrible on the interior, these two are a little more able at the price they are. Both are known studs, and Campbell has been on a roll this year to kick things off. I’ll just throw the numbers at you and let you decide which is the best parlay or parlays you pick.
Calais Campbell +135 for a half a sack – 12 combined tackles, four for a loss, two three QB hits, and two sacks.
Zach Sieler +120 for a half a sack – 13 combined tackles, two for a loss, two QB hits, and one sack.
Sieler had a phenomenal 2023 season and might be overshadowed a little so far this year. Ten sacks, 22 QB hits, 11 tackles for a loss as an interior defensive lineman. And Campell is coming off a year they had all those other studs scarfing up the sacks we talked about. That’s not a problem anymore especially when the opportunity presents it’s self versus the Patriots.
Preston Smith Over 1/4 of a Sack @ +175 (Green Bay)
So far this is the season Smith (almost 33 years old) has determined not to fade away in, that is very apparent if anything. This was supposed to be the year of Rashan Gary after all. He’s healthy and trying to flash more of what he has in his rocky six-year career. And don’t get me wrong, for the younger generation I also like Gary this matchup. However, Smith is the better-graded player at the moment and it’s by more than a narrow margin. That’s not going to prevent me from taking advantage of the situation or this very strong matchup for either player. And the bigger plus money on both edge rushers surprised me a little.
Rashan Gary Over 1/4 of a Sack @ +180 (Green Bay)
As we have with some success this year, let’s pick on the Rams. We’ll keep it to the point. The Rams’ offensive line is ranked outside the top 25 overall. Another deciding factor, the offensive line also looks like a triage in the locker room right now. The injuries have mounted in most positions across the front in some shape or form. So it’s amazing that an aging Mathew Stafford has only been sacked 11 times in the last 3 games, and 13 times altogether.
So yes, I like Smith and Gary to both get this sack bet under wraps fairly quickly this weekend. Green Bay has an outstanding interior defensive line this year too. And when healthy they all have known how to apply the pressure at some point or another in their careers. (Kenny Clark, Devonte Wyatt) The last time Preston Smith had this strong of a matchup was versus the Titans in Week 3. He walked away with both his 2024 sacks that contest along with two more tackles for a loss.
My Preferred Week 5 NFL Prop Bets
- Kayvon Thibodeaux
- Emmanuel Ogbah
- Preston Smith
- $10 wager for a payout of $163.24 (+1532 As A Parlay)
Please gamble in moderation and keep it fun this weekend! Catch me at The IDP Tipster or over on the IDP Plus Bets on the X,
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