The CB Stream Gods blessed us all last week with a beautiful “Ideal” stream from Kendall Fuller (CB) in week six
Welcome to Johny the Greek’s Cornerbacks Corner Week Seven. Last week we streamed corner and did it well. I recommended 61 different corner streams from 14 different Week 6 matchups and the majority of them worked out extremely well. We sit at 72% accuracy for the season, 71% last week based on those calls matching or beating their projections (Yahoo), and will continue to track accuracy all season long just like last year. Transparency is something we take seriously here at IDPGuys.
If you’re new to this article series the idea behind it is that in the IDP world cornerbacks are the red-headed stepchild, often neglected or scoffed at. Not here. We love streaming corners and have for some time now, it’s a key component of playing big boy IDP. This is not an article for the Sleeper IDP players of the world, the “DB” people, baby IDP if you will, although in deep enough leagues a CB stream at DB is still a decent option. This is more for your true degenerate, CB and DT required, a few points a week is going to make a difference, type of player. And while I do enjoy my Sleeper leagues and those kinds of leagues as well (variety is the spice of life), the vast majority of what I play in these days is those advanced, individual positions, best possible competition, need every edge you can get type leagues. That’s the audience here. If that’s not you or you’re not a fan of my approach the exit button is top right on PC, it looks like an X, close window on mobile.
I’ve been doing this long enough that I have my audience, I know my readers, we talk in and out of the season and I live a perfectly happy and fulfilling life beyond fantasy football, this is just a hobby for me and I am so far from interested in arguing about any of this that if that stuff were a star it would take the light from that star billions of years to reach me, save yourself the time on Twitter I’ll just block and move on. Apologies to those of you that don’t need this disclaimer but this is the world we live in these days, just making things clear upfront.
We’re going to be looking at things like the expected game script, opposing offensive tendencies, snap counts, teams that are more or less likely to target wide receivers, and historical production to inform our weekly decisions on what corners are an “ideal” streaming option. By giving this entire thing more than two seconds thought we will have a distinct advantage over our opponents who are not doing this over the course of the season. We are going to put ourselves in the best position possible every week to score the most IDP points humanly possible from our cornerback slots.
Just a little background, I’ve been playing IDP for 18 years now and streaming corners for well over a decade of that time. In that time I have won clear of 25 titles in both redraft and dynasty traditional IDP leagues and many many more in best ball, DFS, and college fantasy football. I am a true degenerate. Add an additional 50 plus second and third place finishes also in traditional IDP leagues, most of them with money prizes attached, and you’ll start to envision how deep my degenerate tendencies go. I am absolutely NOT an analyst, I’m just a guy who loves playing IDP fantasy football and has been pretty decent at it for a long time. People throw that term around too much, this isn’t my job, this is just for fun. None of us are analysts unless your name is Matthew Berry etc.
Personally, I like to stream not only whatever the current week is but if my bench is big enough I’ll load up two more ideal streamers for the following week and by doing so I’ve already taken my pick of the litter a week before anyone else also streaming is even thinking about their corners for that week. Corner is a naturally spotty position but by looking at all the factors I listed above we will have better outcomes than the majority of IDP owners who simply put in a “known” corner with a big name (Richard Sherman for example) into their corner slots and ride out the production whether or not that matchup makes sense each week. Richard Sherman against last year’s Falcons or Chiefs makes sense, while Richard Sherman against last year’s Jets or Patriots does not.
It looks like we’ll have some pretty solid matchups this week and we’ll continue to target those for our ideal matchups but in today’s NFL, where passing is the name of the game, I’m sure we’ll find solid streaming options in just about every matchup so even those of us in the deepest of leagues have some options. I always give last weeks results as well as an overall season-long accuracy because it’s important, to be honest, and upfront with stuff like this, if I’m in a slump and making bad decisions you’ll know it and can decide if you want to follow these streaming suggestions or not.
Last week I made 61 recommendations, of those 5 were declared inactive or injured during play, 40 were correct (met or exceeded projection) and 16 were incorrect (below projection). We don’t count acts of God here (injuries) and I specifically ask people to check for inactives before each game so discounting those I was 71% correct last week, 72% accurate for the season overall. Of those 40 correct calls last week 16 of them were “massive hits” (doubled or tripled projection) for a 40% massive hit rate.
Week 1 Accuracy: 75% Week 1 Massive Hit: 25%
Week 2 Accuracy: 64% Week 2 Massive Hit: 35%
Week 3 Accuracy: 67% Week 3 Massive Hit: 34%
Week 4 Accuracy: 77% Week 4 Massive Hit: 37%
Week 5 Accuracy: 77% Week 5 Massive Hit: 40%
Week 6 Accuracy: 71% Week 6 Massive Hit: 40%
Season accuracy to date: 72%
Season massive hit rate to date: 35%
Disclaimer Time! I’m not going to get all of these correct. Cornerback especially is a wildly inconsistent position for production in IDP fantasy football. That’s why most people hate it with a passion. My whole thing is to put yourself in the best position to succeed by looking at all the variables and making the absolute best streaming call possible. After that, you pray. Your team is your responsibility and yours alone, you set the lineup not me.
Take ownership if things go south, these are only suggestions. I will do my absolute best to make sure that these recommendations are the best possible and will base these on factual information and statistics from places like NFLGsis.com, PFF, and other fantasy and NFL data and statistics sites. Also, I will use the force, sometimes a gut feeling is all I have to go on in an unknown situation but if it comes down to that just know this isn’t my first rodeo.
I don’t work for the NFL, I don’t get to sit in on defensive team meetings for all 32 teams, I don’t get inside information. If a player has been producing all season and has been playing a ton of snaps and they get yanked right before a game obviously I had nothing to do with it and since I don’t work for said team no one told me. (See Vernon Hargreaves 2019 and 2021). If someone goes down with an ACL it’s not because I made a voodoo doll of them and stuck it with pins. These decisions are the same ones I’m making for my teams so if things go bad for you they go bad for me as well. I’m just here to help, don’t kill the messenger.
Article Key:
Outlook: This will be a brief overview of the two offenses and how that will affect the outlook for each team’s cornerbacks corps. I look at offensive ranks for passing, expected game scripts, time of possession, competency of the quarterbacks, and their WR corps and this will help us guess how the game should go. This will help us identify if this is a matchup we want to target for streaming corners or not. Also after last season’s issues with the weather causing problems with passing in some games we’ll try and look at that as well (Raiders/Browns 2020 ring a bell?). First, we identify the matchups we want to stream from then we identify the best options in those matchups.
Ideal Matchup: This is the best possible matchup for this team’s cornerbacks, streaming corners from this team, especially guys that are talented and play all the snaps gives you the best chances at excellent production from those corners.
Solid Matchup: This isn’t a perfect matchup to stream corner but it’s still pretty good, if you’re in a deeper league and have fewer options to stream from this matchup is still a better option than most.
Avoid: This matchup will likely be terrible to stream corner from, due to anything from a god awful opposing quarterback who can’t complete passes to a banged-up wide receiver corps or even a run-first offense like the 2019 Ravens were, there’s something that makes this a bad matchup to stream corners from, avoid if possible. However, there may be specific corners who get a “solid” in an otherwise “avoid” matchup simply due to their talent and ability to make plays in all aspects of the defense (see Marlon Humphrey, he always starts, doesn’t matter who’s in town).
Perfect Stream: This is one of the best matchups this week. I will be streaming from these matchups in my own leagues almost exclusively.
Poop stream: This is one of the worst matchups this week. I will very likely have zero corners from this matchup streaming anywhere.
***There will be games where I don’t recommend streaming from one team or another but still have someone listed as solid despite that, in those situations, it’s talent over matchup. Tre’Davious White (CB) might be up against the leagues worst passing attack but at the end of the day he’s still Tre’Davious White (CB) so I’d start him if I didn’t have any better options***
Kendall Fuller gets another nice matchup this week with Rodgers & Adams in town
Football Team @ Packers
Outlook: One half of a good matchup, Taylor Heineke (QB) and the Washington passing attack is not great at all so we can skip the Packers options this week but for Kendall Fuller (CB) and company this could be excellent, he’ll be close to ideal and their other options should be solid as well.
Washington Football Team
Kendall Fuller (CB) Solid/Ideal
Bobby McCain (CB) Solid
William Jackson (CB) Solid
Green Bay Packers
Eric Stokes (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Chandon Sullivan (CB) Avoid
Kevin King (CB) Avoid
Rasul Douglas (CB) Avoid
The Jack Rabbit is in perfect position for a monster week with Mahomes & the Chiefs offense
Chiefs @ Titans
Outlook: Start your Titans, Jack Rabbit and Elijah Molden (CB) and we can leave the rest unless in deeper leagues, Chiefs options may be doable in those places but in general I really just want the Titans side of this one. Another half of a good matchup but you never know, with Julio Jones (WR) and AJ Brown (WR) back healthy this Titans passing attack could wake up any week now so if you’re looking to take a risk with the Chiefs options this is a decent one.
Kansas City Chiefs
L’Jarius Sneed (CB/S) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Rashod Fenton (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues if Chavarious Ward is inactive, otherwise avoid)
Mike Hughes (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Chavarious Ward (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues, if healthy)
Tennessee Titans
Janoris Jenkins (CB) Solid/Ideal
Elijah Molden (CB) Solid
Chris Jackson (CB/S) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Caleb Farley (CB) Avoid
Xavien Howard has a chance at a nice week with the Falcons passing attack on the menu
Falcons @ Dolphins
Outlook: We can start Howard comfortably, we can probably find some deeper league options on the Dolphins as well. On the reverse end of this AJ Terrell (CB) is probably fine in deeper leagues but beyond that I’m probably all set, the Dolphins passing attack has been far less than ideal all season. The upside here is that this Falcons pass defense overall is Swiss cheese. So, if you are forced into starting your Falcons corners, the odds are decent that Miami will be able to move the ball and complete passes on them. For me personally, though, I’m looking elsewhere beyond Xavien Howard (CB) in this one.
Atlanta Falcons
AJ Terrell (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Fabian Moreau (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
No significant third corner
Miami Dolphins
Xavien Howard (CB) Solid
Byron Jones (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Justin Coleman (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues only and only if Howard and Jones are inactive)
Noah Igbinoghene (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues only and only if Howard and Jones are inactive)
Not a great matchup but Bryce Hall (CB) is always a nice option simply due to time spent on the field each week
Jets @ Patriots
Outlook: Two terrible passing attacks, we just saw this game a few weeks back and the running backs were the stars with the pass game a distant after thought. Pass completely on it if you can, in much deeper leagues with far fewer options I’d lean towards the Jets options (well option singular to be honest) here if you’re backed into a corner.
New York Jets
Bryce Hall (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues, he could be fine regardless but there are better places to look this week)
Sharrod Neasman (CB) Avoid
Brandin Echols (CB) Avoid
New England Patriots
JC Jackson (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Jalen Mills (CB/S) Avoid
Jonathan Jones (CB) Avoid
The Giants secondary has many nice options but the Panthers passing attack has been iffy lately
Panthers @ Giants
Outlook: We can start the usual suspects for the Giants but real talk the Panthers passing attack has come back to earth the last few weeks here, I’d try and avoid this one if you can. We’ll have some options here in deeper leagues for sure but in general this looks like a lower scoring affair to me. As for the Panthers there will be some options in deeper leagues as well but this Giants passing attack has been injured and bad at different points in the season and is currently both of those things so I’d try and look elsewhere.
Carolina Panthers
Donte Jackson (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
AJ Bouye (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Stephon Gilmore (CB) Avoid (Hasn’t played yet, not enough information)
Keith Taylor (CB) Avoid (Playing time)
New York Giants
James Bradberry (CB) Solid
Logan Ryan (CB/S) Solid
Adoree Jackson (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Julian Love (CB/S) Avoid
Marlon Humphrey has a chance to rebound this week with Joe Cool and the Bengals excellent passing attack on the agenda
Bengals @ Ravens
Outlook: We can start Humphrey and Averett pretty comfortably here against Joe Burrow (QB) and the excellent Bengals passing attack, as for the reverse Chidobe Awuzie (CB) has been on fire the last couple weeks and gets involved in run defense as well so he’ll be an option in deeper leagues but beyond that we’ll skip any other Bengals due to fluctuation in this cornerback corps and a Ravens offense that prefers to run over pass nine times out of ten. Half of a good matchup once more.
Cincinnati Bengals
Chidobe Awuzie (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Mike Hilton (CB) Avoid
Eli Apple (CB) Avoid
Baltimore Ravens
Marlon Humphrey (CB) Solid/Ideal
Anthony Averett (CB) Solid/Ideal
Tavon Young (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Darius Slay and the Eagles options could be solid against the sometimes great Raiders passing attack
Eagles @ Raiders
Outlook: This could end up being decent but I’m leaning deeper leagues only for the usual suspects on each side here, middle of the pack for all the things we look at for corner streaming for both teams and a very mediocre matchup overall.
Philadelphia Eagles
Darius Slay (CB) Solid
Steven Nelson (CB) Solid
Avonte Maddox (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Las Vegas Raiders
Casey Hayward (CB) Solid
Nate Hobbs (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues only, risky due to fluctuation in cornerback corps/injuries)
No significant third corner option
The Rams secondary has many nice options, unfortunately their opponent is Jarred Goff and the Lions
Lions @ Rams
Outlook: We can start Oruwariye and see if there’s anyone else safe enough to roll out for the Lions and we’ll fire up Jalen Ramsey (CB) always because he’s always good but beyond that it could get weird with this one. Deeper leagues only for everyone not named Oruwariye or Ramsey and once again just half a good matchup.
Detroit Lions
Amani Oruwariye (CB) Solid
Jerry Jacobs (CB) Solid (Risky due to fluctuation within cornerback corps)
AJ Parker (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues only)
Los Angeles Rams
Jalen Ramsey (CB) Solid
Robert Rochell (CB) Avoid
David Long Jr (CB) Avoid
All others (CB) Avoid
The Texans corners should be in for a productive and long day against the Cardinals this week
Texans @ Cardinals
Outlook: We’ll fire up all the Texans’ options here and hope we guess right between Hargreaves and King but as for the Cardinals I’d avoid this if possible, the Texans pass offense is hot dog poop and this Cardinals pass rush may end up killing Davis Mills (QB). One half of a good matchup.
Houston Texans
Terrence Mitchell (CB) Solid
Vernon Hargreaves (CB) Avoid (Fluctuation in role)
Desmond King (CB) Avoid (Fluctuation in role)
Lonnie Johnson (CB/S) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Tavierre Thomas (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Arizona Cardinals
Byron Murphy (CB) Avoid (Plays enough though if you have no other options)
Marco Wilson (CB) Avoid (Plays enough though if you have no other options)
Robert Alford (CB) Avoid
Jaylon Johnson & Kindle Vildor get the red hot Bucs passing attack in week seven
Bears @ Buccaneers
Outlook: More of the same, we fire up our Bears options comfortably and avoid the Bucs options like the plague. Not much more to say really. Maybe some sneaky deeper league options but we shall see.
Chicago Bears
Kindle Vildor (CB) Solid
Jaylon Johnson (CB) Solid
Xavier Crawford (CB) or Duke Shelley (CB) Avoid (Fluctuation between who gets the third CB role here)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Richard Sherman (CB) Avoid
Jamel Dean (CB) Avoid
Ross Cockrell (CB) Avoid
All others (CB) Avoid
Kenny Moore is always great but the 49ers would rather run than pass every single time and twice on Sunday
Colts @ 49ers
Outlook: Sure, the Colts passing game looked great last week against the Texans. What was the key part of that last sentence? Against the Texans. This isn’t the Texan, it’s the 49ers and they have a real pass rush and a real defense, Wentz will revert to the guy Carol from the walking dead blew away in the forest and as for the Niners they don’t pass, they run. We will have some options for deeper leagues with guys like Kenny Moore (CB) and Emmanuel Moseley (CB) but I’m iffy to even roll those guys out this week, this should be a run first, play defense, black and blue, three yards and a cloud of dust kind of game. I’m going to pass altogether unless it’s Kenny Moore (CB) in a league where I can’t find a much better option, he’s usually good regardless.
Indianapolis Colts
Kenny Moore (CB) Solid
Xavier Rhodes (CB) Avoid (Unless Jimmy Beautiful is playing, then deeper leagues only)
Rock Ya Sin (CB) Avoid
San Francisco 49ers
Emmanuel Moseley (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Josh Norman (CB) Avoid
All others (CB) Avoid
Marshon Lattimore is always great but with Geno Smith in the house his outlook has us far less enthused
Saints @ Seahawks
Outlook: This could be decent overall but I’m betting it won’t, with a backup on one side and Winston on the other this could be a comedy of errors, however the Seahawks defense was on pace (before the Steelers game) to let up the most yards in NFL history this season so I’m thinking we may actually get a “good” Winston week so we can fire up the Seahawks options somewhat confidently, as for Lattimore, Adebo and the Saints I’d be hesitant. Geno didn’t exactly light up the world against the Steelers and wasn’t amazing against the Rams either and frankly this defense is just as capable of messing his shit up as the Rams or Steelers. So we’ll say deeper leagues only for Lattimore and Adebo, etc. Lot’s of half a good matchups this week and no ideal streams in terms of matchups themselves, we’re into the slog of the season now.
New Orleans Saints
Marshon Lattimore (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Paulson Adebo (CB) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Bradley Roby (CB) Avoid
Chauncey Gardner Johnson (CB/S) Solid (Deeper leagues)
Seattle Seahawks
DJ Reed (CB) Solid
Tre Brown (CB) Avoid (Playing time)
Quandre Diggs (CB/S) Solid
Sidney Jones (CB) Avoid (Playing time)
Remember to check inactives before kickoff to avoid any surprise zeroes! The information here is usually only accurate up until Thursday evening each week, then it gets published and I won’t be editing and updating with any injury news that occurs after that point, it’s your responsibility to track injuries for your own team. Good luck this week!
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